CSCE 582 {=STAT 582} Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs

See log for assignment and due dates. HW1 1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, 1.5 [J01], 2.1 [J96]. 24 pts--4 points per part. HW2 1.6, 1.7, 1.8, 1.9, 1.10. 25 pts--5 points per exercise.
HW3 (Hugin=PR1) Exercise 1.11, 1.12, 1.13, 1.14, 1.15. 20 points in all. (1.11) 2 point if the student reports installation of Hugin (any version) on his or her PC; or, if the student announces his or her intention of using the version in the lab; or, if the student has done the other exercises, because this indicates that the student can use Hugin. (1.12) 3 points for a net file. One point off with the wrong DAG. Commendation for a screen dump. Additional commendation for two screen dumps or a screen dump showing two nets. Additional commendation for screen dumps indicating that evidence was entered. (1.13, 1.14: 5 points each) Check that three nets are submitted. Check the structure. If wrong, take out up to three points per exercise.
HW4 (Hugin=PR2) 30 points in total Ex. 2.1: 5 points. Check structure. If wrong, take off 3 points. Ex.2.2: 3 points. Check structure. If wrong, take off two points. Ex. 2.3: 3 points. If wrong answer, take off two points. Ex. 2.4: 4 points. If wrong answer, take off two or three points. Ex. 2.6, 6 points. 3 for part (i), 3 for part (ii). Check especially that the numbers computed in part(i) are used in part (ii). Ex. 2.7, 1 point. Ex.2,8: (i) 2 points The probability of infected milk is the same for each one of the days, with the probabilities in the book. In particular, P(Inf_{i+1}=yes | Inf_i = no) = 0.0002. Some students incorrectly used 0.0005 instead, and they noticed instability: P(Inf1) = 0.07, and P(Inf7) = 0.13. Take 1 point off for this. (ii) 3 points. Full credit for "logical" argument; full credit for algebraic proof. (iii) 3 points. Full credit for "logical" argument; full credit for algebraic proof.
PR3 10 points Ex. 2.9 1 point Ex. 2.12 9 points